La Almunia vs Caspe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal Tenerías, La Almunia de Doña Godina
The Footlab AI model makes Caspe the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for La Almunia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caspe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Almunia vs Caspe?
Caspe starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,719).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Almunia vs Caspe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Almunia
Not enough data to predict the La Almunia lineup.
Caspe
Not enough data to predict the Caspe lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Almunia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Caspe have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Épila(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Épila(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Binéfar(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 La Almunia win, 4 draws, 1 Caspe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | La Almunia 2-0 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Caspe 1-1 La Almunia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | La Almunia 0-1 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Caspe 1-1 La Almunia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Caspe 1-1 La Almunia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | La Almunia 1-1 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
La Almunia score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caspe score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Almunia | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Caspe | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Almunia sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (7 points from 6 matches) and Caspe sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Caspe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | La Almunia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
A question about La Almunia vs Caspe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Almunia vs Caspe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caspe the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for La Almunia.
- Where and when is La Almunia vs Caspe played?
- La Almunia vs Caspe is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal Tenerías, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.