Brea vs Illueca: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, Brea de Aragón
The Footlab model makes Brea the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Illueca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brea vs Illueca?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Brea (1,667) and Illueca (1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brea have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Illueca have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Caspe(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 4, 2025 | Ebro(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Cuarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Belchite 97(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Épila(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Almudévar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cariñena(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Calamocha(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Brea win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Illueca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | Brea 4-1 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Brea score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Illueca score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brea | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Illueca | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 51 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brea vs Illueca?
- The Footlab model makes Brea the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Illueca.
- Where and when is Brea vs Illueca played?
- Brea vs Illueca is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.