Breitenrain vs Biel-Bienne: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Spitalacker, Bern
The Footlab model makes Biel-Bienne the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Breitenrain. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Breitenrain vs Biel-Bienne?
Biel-Bienne starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Breitenrain have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Biel-Bienne have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paradiso(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lugano II(home) | 5-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 3-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | YF Juventus(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zürich II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Breitenrain win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Biel-Bienne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Breitenrain 2-2 Biel-Bienne | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Biel-Bienne 3-1 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Breitenrain 1-3 Biel-Bienne | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Biel-Bienne 2-1 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 25, 2024 | Biel-Bienne 2-0 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Breitenrain 3-2 Biel-Bienne | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Breitenrain vs Biel-Bienne on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Breitenrain score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Biel-Bienne score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breitenrain | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Biel-Bienne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Breitenrain sit 6th in 1. Liga Promotion (7 points from 4 matches) and Biel-Bienne sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Biel-Bienne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Breitenrain | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Breitenrain vs Biel-Bienne?
- The Footlab model makes Biel-Bienne the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Breitenrain.
- Where and when is Breitenrain vs Biel-Bienne played?
- Breitenrain vs Biel-Bienne is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Spitalacker, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.