Cham vs Brühl: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eizmoos, Cham
The Footlab model makes Brühl the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Cham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cham vs Brühl?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Cham (1,736) and Brühl (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Brühl have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 2-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paradiso(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Breitenrain(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bavois(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wiesendangen(away) | 6-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luzern II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cham win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Brühl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cham 0-5 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Brühl 4-0 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Brühl 2-3 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Cham 0-2 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Cham 4-0 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Brühl 4-1 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Cham score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Brühl score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cham | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Brühl | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cham sit 3rd in 1. Liga Promotion (9 points from 4 matches) and Brühl sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cham | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Brühl | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cham vs Brühl?
- The Footlab model makes Brühl the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Cham.
- Where and when is Cham vs Brühl played?
- Cham vs Brühl is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eizmoos, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.