Brian Lignano vs Luparense: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Guido Teghil, Lignano Sabbiadoro
The Footlab model makes Brian Lignano the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Luparense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Brian Lignano (1,805) and Luparense (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brian Lignano have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Luparense have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Adriese(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Portogruaro(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Mestre(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Este(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vigasio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mestre(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Brian Lignano win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Luparense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Luparense 1-1 Brian Lignano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Brian Lignano 3-0 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Luparense 2-1 Brian Lignano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Brian Lignano 1-0 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Luparense vs Brian Lignano on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brian Lignano score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Luparense score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Lignano | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Luparense | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brian Lignano sit 4th in Serie D - Girone C (56 points from 34 matches) and Luparense sit 13th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brian Lignano | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 34 | 56 |
| 13 | Luparense | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
- The Footlab model makes Brian Lignano the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Luparense.
- Where and when is Brian Lignano vs Luparense played?
- Brian Lignano vs Luparense is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Guido Teghil, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.