Mestre vs Campodarsego: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Francesco Baracca, Mestre
The Footlab model makes Mestre the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Campodarsego. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mestre vs Campodarsego?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Mestre (1,766) and Campodarsego (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mestre have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Campodarsego have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Altavilla(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Legnago Salus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Luparense(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Cjarlins Muzane(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Calvi Noale(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adriese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mestre win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Campodarsego win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Mestre 0-1 Campodarsego | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Campodarsego 0-1 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Mestre 0-2 Campodarsego | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Campodarsego 2-1 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Mestre 1-1 Campodarsego | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Campodarsego 2-0 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Mestre vs Campodarsego on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mestre score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Campodarsego score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mestre | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Campodarsego | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mestre sit 6th in Serie D - Girone C (55 points from 34 matches) and Campodarsego sit 10th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mestre | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 55 |
| 10 | Campodarsego | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 34 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mestre vs Campodarsego?
- The Footlab model makes Mestre the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Campodarsego.
- Where and when is Mestre vs Campodarsego played?
- Mestre vs Campodarsego is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Francesco Baracca, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.