Match

Brighton U21 vs Burnley U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, Lancing, West Sussex

Brighton U21Burnley U21

The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Burnley U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brighton U21 vs Burnley U21?

Brighton U21 starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,726).

Brighton U21 win62 %
Draw20 %
Burnley U21 win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton U21 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Burnley U21 have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brighton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Northampton(away)3-0EFL Trophy
Aug 14, 2026Millwall U21(home)2-0Premier League Cup
Jul 28, 2026Worthing(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Manchester United U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Burnley U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Fulham U21(away)3-4Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026Wolves U21(away)0-2Premier League Cup
May 14, 2026Sunderland U21(away)2-1Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026West Bromwich Albion U21(home)2-1Premier League Cup
Apr 12, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)0-2Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Brighton U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Burnley U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 16, 2026Burnley U21 0-2 Brighton U21Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 7, 2024Brighton U21 0-0 Burnley U21Premier League Cup
Oct 12, 2024Burnley U21 2-0 Brighton U21Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: Burnley U21 vs Brighton U21 on Mar 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Brighton U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Brighton U212.21.078/1511/15
Burnley U211.61.9111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brighton U21 sit 25th in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Burnley U21 sit 22nd (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
22Burnley U211001340
25Brighton U211001120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brighton U21 vs Burnley U21?
The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Burnley U21.
Where and when is Brighton U21 vs Burnley U21 played?
Brighton U21 vs Burnley U21 is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Brighton U21 and Burnley U21

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