Chelsea U21 vs Burnley U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kingsmeadow, Kingston upon Thames, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Burnley U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelsea U21 vs Burnley U21?
Chelsea U21 starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Burnley U21 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 21, 2026 | AFC Bournemouth U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 1-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fulham U21(away) | 3-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolves U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Blackburn Rovers U21(home) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chelsea U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Burnley U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Burnley U21 0-1 Chelsea U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Burnley U21 2-0 Chelsea U21 | Premier League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Burnley U21 vs Chelsea U21 on Oct 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea U21 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Burnley U21 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea U21 sit 24th in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Burnley U21 sit 22nd (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Burnley U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Chelsea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelsea U21 vs Burnley U21?
- The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Burnley U21.
- Where and when is Chelsea U21 vs Burnley U21 played?
- Chelsea U21 vs Burnley U21 is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kingsmeadow, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21