Brighton vs Aston Villa: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 5, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Brighton vs Aston Villa?
Brighton won 1-0 on May 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 87′João PedroBrighton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Aston Villa have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Manchester City(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Burnley(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Arsenal(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Brentford(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2024 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Chelsea(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Bournemouth(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Lille(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Arsenal(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Brighton win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Aston Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Aston Villa 6-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| May 28, 2023 | Aston Villa 2-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Brighton 1-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Brighton 0-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Aston Villa 2-0 Brighton | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Brighton on Sep 30, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 2.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Aston Villa | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brighton sit 1st in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Aston Villa sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy