Brighton vs Aston Villa: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 18, 2016 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Brighton vs Aston Villa?
Brighton and Aston Villa drew 1-1 on November 18, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 20′N. BakerAston Villa
- 45′G. MurrayBrighton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Aston Villa have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Norwich(home) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Wigan(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2016 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | Blackburn(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Fulham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2016 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Wolves(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 1.6 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy