Brindisi vs Nocerina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Franco Fanuzzi, Brindisi
The Footlab AI model makes Brindisi the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Nocerina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brindisi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brindisi vs Nocerina?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Brindisi (1,703) and Nocerina (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brindisi vs Nocerina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brindisi
4-3-3- 44Mattia Pagliuca
- 29M. Trotta
- 7D. Vantaggiato
- 10D. Petrucci
- 36Carlo Martorelli
- 73N. Bagatti
- 17G. Pinto
- 33L. Falbo
- 3N. Monti
- 27M. Calderoni
- 22I. Saio
Nocerina
Not enough data to predict the Nocerina lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brindisi have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Nocerina have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Brindisi wins, 0 draws, 2 Nocerina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nocerina 0-1 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Nocerina 2-0 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Brindisi 2-1 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Brindisi 1-0 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Nocerina 3-0 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Mar 9, 2022 | Brindisi 1-0 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Brindisi score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nocerina score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brindisi | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Nocerina | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brindisi sit 7th in Serie D - Girone H (12 points from 7 matches) and Nocerina sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nocerina | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Brindisi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
A question about Brindisi vs Nocerina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brindisi vs Nocerina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brindisi the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Nocerina.
- Where and when is Brindisi vs Nocerina played?
- Brindisi vs Nocerina is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Franco Fanuzzi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.