Nocerina vs Brindisi: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio San Francesco, Nocera Inferiore
The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Brindisi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nocerina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nocerina vs Brindisi?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Nocerina (1,766) and Brindisi (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nocerina vs Brindisi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nocerina
Not enough data to predict the Nocerina lineup.
Brindisi
4-3-3- 44Mattia Pagliuca
- 29M. Trotta
- 7D. Vantaggiato
- 10D. Petrucci
- 36Carlo Martorelli
- 73N. Bagatti
- 17G. Pinto
- 33L. Falbo
- 3N. Monti
- 27M. Calderoni
- 22I. Saio
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nocerina have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Brindisi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nocerina wins, 0 draws, 3 Brindisi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Nocerina 2-0 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Brindisi 2-1 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Brindisi 1-0 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Nocerina 3-0 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Mar 9, 2022 | Brindisi 1-0 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Nocerina 3-0 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Nocerina score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brindisi score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocerina | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Brindisi | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nocerina sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone H (13 points from 6 matches) and Brindisi sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nocerina | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Nocerina vs Brindisi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nocerina vs Brindisi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Brindisi.
- Where and when is Nocerina vs Brindisi played?
- Nocerina vs Brindisi is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio San Francesco, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.