Match

Bristol City U21 vs Exeter U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Robins High Performance Centre, Failand, Somerset

Bristol City U21Exeter U21

The Footlab model makes Bristol City U21 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Exeter U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bristol City U21 vs Exeter U21?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Bristol City U21 (1,733) and Exeter U21 (1,796).

Bristol City U21 win41 %
Draw23 %
Exeter U21 win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City U21 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Exeter U21 have 7, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bristol City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sheffield Wednesday U21(away)1-1Professional Development League
Aug 18, 2026Wigan Athletic U21(home)2-2Professional Development League
Aug 11, 2026Reading U21(home)4-0Premier League Cup
Apr 20, 2026Colchester United U21(home)3-1Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026Sheffield United U21(away)2-1Professional Development League
Exeter U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 16, 2025West Bromwich Albion U21(home)1-2Premier League Cup
Dec 3, 2025Luton Town U21(away)1-2Premier League Cup
Nov 24, 2025Brentford U21(away)0-3Premier League Cup
Oct 15, 2025West Bromwich Albion U21(away)0-0Premier League Cup
Sep 30, 2025Brentford U21(home)1-0Premier League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bristol City U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Exeter U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 3, 2025Exeter U21 2-2 Bristol City U21Premier League Cup
Nov 11, 2024Bristol City U21 0-2 Exeter U21Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: Exeter U21 vs Bristol City U21 on Feb 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Bristol City U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter U21 score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bristol City U211.81.8211/1511/15
Exeter U211.41.056/137/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bristol City U21 sit 4th in Premier League Cup (4 points from 6 matches) and Exeter U21 sit 3rd (7 points from 6 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Exeter U216213477
4Bristol City U21611410184

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bristol City U21 vs Exeter U21?
The Footlab model makes Bristol City U21 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Exeter U21.
Where and when is Bristol City U21 vs Exeter U21 played?
Bristol City U21 vs Exeter U21 is played on October 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Robins High Performance Centre, in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bristol City U21 and Exeter U21

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