Exeter U21 vs Bristol City U21: prediction and stats
Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon
The Footlab model makes Exeter U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Bristol City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Exeter U21 vs Bristol City U21?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Exeter U21 (1,794) and Bristol City U21 (1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Exeter U21 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bristol City U21 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Luton Town U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League Cup |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Brentford U21(away) | 0-3 | Premier League Cup |
| Oct 15, 2025 | West Bromwich Albion U21(away) | 0-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Brentford U21(home) | 1-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday U21(away) | 1-1 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Wigan Athletic U21(home) | 2-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Reading U21(home) | 4-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Colchester United U21(home) | 3-1 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Sheffield United U21(away) | 2-1 | Professional Development League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Exeter U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bristol City U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | Exeter U21 2-2 Bristol City U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Bristol City U21 0-2 Exeter U21 | Premier League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Exeter U21 vs Bristol City U21 on Feb 3, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Exeter U21 score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 13; Bristol City U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter U21 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/13 | 7/13 |
| Bristol City U21 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Exeter U21 sit 3rd in Premier League Cup (7 points from 6 matches) and Bristol City U21 sit 4th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Exeter U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Bristol City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Exeter U21 vs Bristol City U21?
- The Footlab model makes Exeter U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Bristol City U21.
- Where and when is Exeter U21 vs Bristol City U21 played?
- Exeter U21 vs Bristol City U21 is played on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at St James Park, in the Premier League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Bristol City U214-0Reading U21
- Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U213-1Plymouth U21
- Aug 14, 2026Derby County U211-4Hull City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Wolves U212-0Burnley U21
- Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U210-0Leeds United U21
- Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U213-0Birmingham City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Southampton U214-0Blackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 14, 2026Brighton U212-0Millwall U21