Bristol City vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 4, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Full time
What was the result of Bristol City vs Derby?
Bristol City won 1-0 on January 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′L. McNallyBristol City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 | Plymouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Portsmouth(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Luton(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 22, 2024 | West Brom(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | West Brom(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Portsmouth(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bristol City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2024 | Derby 3-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Derby 1-3 Bristol City | Championship |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Bristol City 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Derby 1-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Bristol City 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Bristol City 3-2 Derby | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Derby vs Bristol City on Aug 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol City score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol City sit 19th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy