Match

Bristol City W vs Durham W: prediction and stats

Women's ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

Bristol City WDurham W

The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City W the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for Durham W. The most likely score is 3-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,244 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bristol City W vs Durham W?

Bristol City W starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,764).

78%13%9%
Bristol City W winDrawDurham W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bristol City W vs Durham W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bristol City W

4-3-3
  1. 9R. Hardy
  2. 7K. Robinson
  3. 10L. Lindström
  1. 16E. Syme
  2. 12A. Apostolakis
  3. 19M. Farrugia
  1. 20E. Morgan
  2. 3G. Lawley
  3. 23B. Aspin
  4. 15O. Woś
  1. 1F. Bentley

Durham W

4-3-3
  1. 11J. Pennock
  2. 10G. Ede
  3. 9L. Watson
  1. 7B. Hepple
  2. 24E. Morran
  3. 21A. Stobbs
  1. 5S. Wilson
  2. 3L. Briggs
  3. 2G. Ayre
  4. 4M. McComasky
  1. 35C. Sheppard

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 05:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City W have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Durham W have 2, 1 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bristol City W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ipswich Town W(away)2-1Women's Championship
Nov 1, 2026Wolverhampton W(away)1-2WSL Cup
Oct 28, 2026Tottenham Hotspur W(home)1-6WSL Cup
Oct 25, 2026Wolverhampton W(home)4-2Women's Championship
Oct 21, 2026Charlton Athletic W(away)0-2WSL Cup
Durham W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Sunderland W(home)1-4Women's Championship
Nov 1, 2026Newcastle United W(home)1-5WSL Cup
Oct 25, 2026Watford W(away)2-4Women's Championship
Oct 21, 2026Birmingham City W(home)0-5WSL Cup
Oct 18, 2026Burnley W(away)2-3WSL Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bristol City W wins, 2 draws, 1 Durham W win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Durham W 2-2 Bristol City WWomen's Championship
Oct 5, 2025Bristol City W 2-1 Durham WWomen's Championship
May 4, 2025Durham W 2-0 Bristol City WWomen's Championship
Dec 15, 2024Bristol City W 5-0 Durham WWomen's Championship
Mar 12, 2023Bristol City W 3-0 Durham WWomen's Championship
Dec 4, 2022Durham W 1-1 Bristol City WWomen's Championship

Last archived meeting: Durham W vs Bristol City W on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bristol City W score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Durham W score 1.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bristol City W1.71.7210/1510/15
Durham W1.23.1112/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bristol City W sit 5th in Women's Championship (13 points from 7 matches) and Durham W sit 12th (0 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Bristol City W7412141013
12Durham W70078240

A question about Bristol City W vs Durham W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bristol City W vs Durham W?
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City W the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for Durham W.
Where and when is Bristol City W vs Durham W played?
Bristol City W vs Durham W is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Ashton Gate Stadium, in the Women's Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bristol City W and Durham W

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