Durham W vs Burnley W: prediction and stats
Women's ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Maiden Castle Sports Park, Durham, County Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Burnley W the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Durham W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burnley W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,138 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durham W vs Burnley W?
Burnley W starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,939 vs 1,779).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durham W vs Burnley W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durham W
4-3-3- 11J. Pennock
- 19Bayley Hutchison
- 10G. Ede
- 7B. Hepple
- 23R. Lowe
- 24E. Morran
- 5S. Wilson
- 3L. Briggs
- 4M. McComasky
- 2G. Ayre
- 35C. Sheppard
Burnley W
4-3-3- 9C. Walker
- 19Charlie Chadwick
- 21C. Wellings
- 8J. Finn
- 10C. Harrison-Murray
- 6T. Toland
- 3E. Siddall
- 22A. Paul
- 23N. Hartley
- 2C. Docherty
- 25J. Burns
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 06:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durham W have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Burnley W have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Birmingham City W(home) | 0-5 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burnley W(away) | 2-3 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Newcastle United W(home) | 0-3 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Manchester United W(home) | 1-5 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sheffield United W(away) | 1-4 | Women's Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Aston Villa W(home) | 0-2 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Durham W(home) | 3-2 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nottingham Forest W(away) | 0-2 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol City W(home) | 0-0 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Wolverhampton W(away) | 0-3 | Women's Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Durham W wins, 0 draws, 1 Burnley W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burnley W 3-2 Durham W | WSL Cup |
Last archived meeting: Burnley W vs Durham W on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durham W score 1.1 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley W score 3.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durham W | 1.1 | 2.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Burnley W | 3.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durham W sit 12th in Women's Championship (0 points from 5 matches) and Burnley W sit 11th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Burnley W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | Durham W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Durham W vs Burnley W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durham W vs Burnley W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burnley W the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Durham W.
- Where and when is Durham W vs Burnley W played?
- Durham W vs Burnley W is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Maiden Castle Sports Park, in the Women's Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.