Brühl vs Paradiso: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Paul-Grüninger-Stadion, St. Gallen
The Footlab model makes Brühl the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Paradiso. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brühl vs Paradiso?
Brühl starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brühl have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Paradiso have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bavois(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wiesendangen(away) | 6-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luzern II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Breitenrain(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cham(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Brühl win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Paradiso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Paradiso 2-5 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Brühl 3-1 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 17, 2025 | Paradiso 2-0 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Brühl 2-0 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Brühl 2-1 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Paradiso 1-0 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Brühl score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paradiso score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brühl | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Paradiso | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brühl sit 5th in 1. Liga Promotion (7 points from 4 matches) and Paradiso sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brühl | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Paradiso | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brühl vs Paradiso?
- The Footlab model makes Brühl the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Paradiso.
- Where and when is Brühl vs Paradiso played?
- Brühl vs Paradiso is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Paul-Grüninger-Stadion, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.