Bellinzona vs Breitenrain: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, Bellinzona
The Footlab model makes Breitenrain the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Bellinzona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
Breitenrain starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,696 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bellinzona have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Breitenrain have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotkreuz(away) | 1-4 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paradiso(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bellinzona win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Breitenrain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2022 | Breitenrain 1-1 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Bellinzona 1-2 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Breitenrain 3-2 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Bellinzona 2-1 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Breitenrain 3-3 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Breitenrain 3-3 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Breitenrain vs Bellinzona on May 14, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bellinzona score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Breitenrain score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellinzona | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Breitenrain | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bellinzona sit 18th in 1. Liga Promotion (0 points from 4 matches) and Breitenrain sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Breitenrain | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
- The Footlab model makes Breitenrain the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Bellinzona.
- Where and when is Bellinzona vs Breitenrain played?
- Bellinzona vs Breitenrain is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.