BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
The Footlab model makes BSC Young Boys the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for FC Thun. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate BSC Young Boys (2,039) and FC Thun (1,958).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSC Young Boys have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; FC Thun have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Vaduz(home) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Liestal(away) | 4-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lausanne(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 6-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-7 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Saxon Sports(away) | 6-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BSC Young Boys win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Thun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Thun 0-6 BSC Young Boys | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | FC Thun 3-8 BSC Young Boys | Super League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | BSC Young Boys 1-2 FC Thun | Super League |
| Jan 25, 2026 | FC Thun 4-1 BSC Young Boys | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | BSC Young Boys 4-2 FC Thun | Super League |
| Jun 28, 2024 | BSC Young Boys 0-2 FC Thun | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BSC Young Boys score 3.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Thun score 1.7 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys | 3.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Thun | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSC Young Boys sit 1st in Super League (10 points from 4 matches) and FC Thun sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BSC Young Boys | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun?
- The Footlab model makes BSC Young Boys the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for FC Thun.
- Where and when is BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun played?
- BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Wankdorf, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.