Buchbach vs Illertissen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 34Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach
The Footlab AI model makes Illertissen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1. If Illertissen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchbach vs Illertissen?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,890) and Illertissen (1,943).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buchbach vs Illertissen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buchbach
Not enough data to predict the Buchbach lineup.
Illertissen
Not enough data to predict the Illertissen lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Illertissen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 15, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buchbach wins, 0 draws, 4 Illertissen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Buchbach 0-3 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Illertissen 4-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Buchbach 3-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Illertissen 2-0 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 11, 2024 | Illertissen 1-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Buchbach 2-3 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Illertissen on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buchbach score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchbach | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Illertissen | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchbach sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (28 points from 14 matches) and Illertissen sit 6th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Buchbach | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Illertissen | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
A question about Buchbach vs Illertissen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Illertissen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Illertissen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Buchbach.
- Where and when is Buchbach vs Illertissen played?
- Buchbach vs Illertissen is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027SpVgg UnterhachingvsVilzing
- Apr 24, 2027FC Schweinfurt 05vsAugsburg II
- Apr 24, 2027EichstättvsBayreuth
- Apr 24, 2027Bayern München IIvsTSV 1860 München
- Apr 24, 2027AubstadtvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Apr 24, 2027Greuther Fürth IIvsAnsbach
- Apr 24, 2027Nürnberg IIvsMemmingen
- Apr 24, 2027EltersdorfvsLandsberg