Where and when is Buchbach vs Illertissen played?

Buchbach vs Illertissen is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Buchbach vs Illertissen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 34Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach

Buchbach

Illertissen

The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Buchbach vs Illertissen?

Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,867).

Buchbach win24 %

Draw22 %

Illertissen win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Buchbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ansbach(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026	Aubstadt(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026	Nürnberg II(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026	Eichstätt(home)	5-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026	Schwaben Augsburg(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Bayern

Illertissen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Bayreuth(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026	SpVgg Unterhaching(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026	Landsberg(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026	Schwaben Augsburg(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026	Eichstätt(away)	3-0	Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buchbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Illertissen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2026	Buchbach 0-3 Illertissen	Regionalliga - Bayern
Oct 4, 2025	Illertissen 4-1 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Nov 30, 2024	Buchbach 3-0 Illertissen	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 16, 2024	Illertissen 2-0 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
May 11, 2024	Illertissen 1-2 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Oct 17, 2023	Buchbach 2-3 Illertissen	Regionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Illertissen on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Buchbach	1.9	2.1	3	9/15	11/15
Illertissen	2.3	0.9	7	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Buchbach	5	3	2	0	12	4	11
2	Illertissen	5	3	2	0	12	4	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Illertissen?: The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Buchbach.
Where and when is Buchbach vs Illertissen played?: Buchbach vs Illertissen is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.