Illertissen vs Buchbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illertissen vs Buchbach?
Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,978 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Buchbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubstadt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Illertissen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Buchbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Buchbach 0-3 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Illertissen 4-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Buchbach 3-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Illertissen 2-0 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 11, 2024 | Illertissen 1-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Buchbach 2-3 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Illertissen on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Buchbach | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illertissen sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Buchbach sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs Buchbach?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Buchbach.
- Where and when is Illertissen vs Buchbach played?
- Illertissen vs Buchbach is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsBayern München II
- Oct 17, 2026Augsburg IIvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Oct 17, 2026BayreuthvsEichstätt
- Oct 17, 2026MemmingenvsNürnberg II
- Oct 17, 2026Schwaben AugsburgvsAubstadt
- Oct 17, 2026VilzingvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Oct 17, 2026AnsbachvsGreuther Fürth II
- Oct 17, 2026LandsbergvsEltersdorf