Illertissen vs Buchbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 15Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
The Footlab AI model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1. If Illertissen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illertissen vs Buchbach?
On Elo ratings, Illertissen has 1,944 points and Buchbach 1,891.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Illertissen vs Buchbach
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Illertissen
Not enough data to predict the Illertissen lineup.
Buchbach
Not enough data to predict the Buchbach lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Buchbach have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 15, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Illertissen wins, 0 draws, 2 Buchbach wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Buchbach 0-3 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Illertissen 4-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Buchbach 3-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Illertissen 2-0 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 11, 2024 | Illertissen 1-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Buchbach 2-3 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Illertissen on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Illertissen score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Buchbach | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illertissen sit 6th in Regionalliga - Bayern (20 points from 13 matches) and Buchbach sit 2nd (28 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Buchbach | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Illertissen | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
A question about Illertissen vs Buchbach?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs Buchbach?
- The Footlab AI model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Buchbach.
- Where and when is Illertissen vs Buchbach played?
- Illertissen vs Buchbach is played on October 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026BayreuthvsEichstätt
- Oct 17, 2026MemmingenvsNürnberg II
- Oct 17, 2026VilzingvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Oct 17, 2026AnsbachvsGreuther Fürth II
- Oct 17, 2026LandsbergvsEltersdorf
- Oct 17, 2026Schwaben AugsburgvsAubstadt
- Oct 18, 2026Augsburg IIvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Oct 18, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsBayern München II