Buckie Thistle vs Formartine United: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 33Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Park, Buckie
The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Formartine United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buckie Thistle vs Formartine United?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Buckie Thistle (1,658) and Formartine United (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buckie Thistle have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 6-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 7-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Buckie Thistle win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Formartine United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Buckie Thistle 1-0 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Formartine United 0-2 Buckie Thistle | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Formartine United 3-1 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Buckie Thistle 1-1 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Formartine United 1-0 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 2-0 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Buckie Thistle vs Formartine United on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buckie Thistle score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckie Thistle | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buckie Thistle sit 8th in Football League - Highland League (53 points from 34 matches) and Formartine United sit 3rd (71 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Formartine United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 71 |
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 47 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buckie Thistle vs Formartine United?
- The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Formartine United.
- Where and when is Buckie Thistle vs Formartine United played?
- Buckie Thistle vs Formartine United is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.