Keith vs Rothes: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 33Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Rothes. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Rothes?
Keith is a heavy favourite: 1,478 Elo points against 1,111 — a 367-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rothes have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wick Academy(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 2-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deveronvale(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-7 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Keith win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rothes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rothes 1-5 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Keith 2-1 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Keith 1-0 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Rothes 0-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Keith 2-1 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Rothes 0-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rothes score 1.0 and concede 4.0. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Rothes | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Rothes sit 18th (7 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 18 | Rothes | 34 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 33 | 134 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Rothes?
- The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Rothes.
- Where and when is Keith vs Rothes played?
- Keith vs Rothes is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Banks O' DeevsDeveronvale
- Apr 3, 2027FraserburghvsTurriff United
- Apr 3, 2027Buckie ThistlevsFormartine United
- Apr 3, 2027Forres MechanicsvsInvergordon
- Apr 3, 2027LossiemouthvsBrora Rangers
- Apr 3, 2027Nairn CountyvsHuntly
- Apr 3, 2027Strathspey ThistlevsClachnacuddin
- Apr 3, 2027Wick AcademyvsInverurie Loco Works