Match

Budoni vs Sarnese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale San Teodoro, San Teodoro

BudoniSarnese

The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Budoni. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarnese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Budoni vs Sarnese?

Sarnese starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,562).

27%26%47%
Budoni winDrawSarnese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Budoni vs Sarnese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Budoni

Not enough data to predict the Budoni lineup.

Sarnese

Not enough data to predict the Sarnese lineup.

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:28 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budoni have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sarnese have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Budoni
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Paganese(away)0-3Serie D - Girone G
Oct 4, 2026Monastir(home)1-5Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Venafro(away)3-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 20, 2026Anzio(home)2-0Serie D - Girone G
Sep 16, 2026Gelbison(away)1-2Serie D - Girone G
Sarnese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Atletico Lodigiani(away)1-0Serie D - Girone G
Oct 4, 2026Paganese(home)2-1Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Ossese(away)2-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 20, 2026Gelbison(home)3-1Serie D - Girone G
Sep 16, 2026Venafro(away)1-0Serie D - Girone G

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Budoni wins, 0 draws, 1 Sarnese win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Sarnese 2-1 BudoniSerie D - Girone G

Last archived meeting: Sarnese vs Budoni on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Budoni score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sarnese score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Budoni1.21.567/158/15
Sarnese1.71.1410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Budoni sit 11th in Serie D - Girone G (7 points from 6 matches) and Sarnese sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Sarnese642011614
11Budoni621310137

A question about Budoni vs Sarnese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Budoni vs Sarnese?
The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Budoni.
Where and when is Budoni vs Sarnese played?
Budoni vs Sarnese is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale San Teodoro, in the Serie D - Girone G.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Budoni and Sarnese

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