Monastir vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Monastir the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monastir vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Monastir (1,746) and Sarrabus Ogliastra (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monastir have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sarrabus Ogliastra have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 10, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 2, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Albalonga(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olbia(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valmontone(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Monterotondo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Cassino(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Monastir win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-3 Monastir | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Monastir 2-3 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Monastir on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Monastir score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sarrabus Ogliastra score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monastir | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monastir sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone G (53 points from 34 matches) and Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 9th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Monastir | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 44 | 53 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monastir vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
- The Footlab model makes Monastir the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
- Where and when is Monastir vs Sarrabus Ogliastra played?
- Monastir vs Sarrabus Ogliastra is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.