Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pod Goricom, Podgorica
The Footlab model makes Mornar the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Buducnost Podgorica. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Buducnost Podgorica (1,525) and Mornar (1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buducnost Podgorica have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mornar have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dečić(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buducnost Podgorica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Mornar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mornar 2-1 Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| May 16, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica 0-0 Mornar | First League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mornar 3-0 Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Buducnost Podgorica 2-0 Mornar | First League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Mornar 1-1 Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| May 4, 2025 | Buducnost Podgorica 3-0 Mornar | First League |
Last archived meeting: Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buducnost Podgorica score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mornar score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buducnost Podgorica | 0.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Mornar | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buducnost Podgorica sit 9th in First League (4 points from 4 matches) and Mornar sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mornar | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Buducnost Podgorica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar?
- The Footlab model makes Mornar the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Buducnost Podgorica.
- Where and when is Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar played?
- Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pod Goricom, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.