Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tuško Polje, Tuzi
The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Otrant-Olympic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Dečić (1,545) and Otrant-Olympic (1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dečić have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Otrant-Olympic have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dečić(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dečić win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Otrant-Olympic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic 0-3 Dečić | First League |
| May 6, 2026 | Dečić 1-0 Otrant-Olympic | Cup |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic 1-2 Dečić | Cup |
| May 4, 2025 | Dečić 2-2 Otrant-Olympic | First League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Otrant-Olympic 2-0 Dečić | First League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Dečić 0-0 Otrant-Olympic | First League |
Last archived meeting: Otrant-Olympic vs Dečić on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dečić score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Otrant-Olympic score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dečić | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Otrant-Olympic | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dečić sit 1st in First League (10 points from 4 matches) and Otrant-Olympic sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dečić | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Otrant-Olympic | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic?
- The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Otrant-Olympic.
- Where and when is Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic played?
- Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.