Burgess Hill Town vs Dartford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Dartford?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Burgess Hill Town (1,828) and Dartford (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dartford have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dartford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 2-1 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Dartford 3-3 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Burgess Hill Town 1-2 Dartford | FA Trophy |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Dartford 3-1 Burgess Hill Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Dartford on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Dartford sit 5th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Dartford?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Dartford played?
- Burgess Hill Town vs Dartford is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsLeatherhead
- Aug 29, 2026St Albans CityvsStanway Rovers
- Aug 29, 2026AveleyvsLewes
- Aug 29, 2026WhyteleafevsCheshunt
- Aug 29, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsCray Wanderers
- Aug 29, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsBrentwood Town
- Aug 29, 2026Enfield TownvsWhitehawk
- Aug 29, 2026Dulwich HamletvsThree Bridges