Match

Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex

Burgess Hill TownCray Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Burgess Hill Town (1,795) and Cray Wanderers (1,825).

Burgess Hill Town win37 %
Draw23 %
Cray Wanderers win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgess Hill Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cheshunt(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Leatherhead(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Brentwood Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Dover(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Cray Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Cheshunt(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Wingate & Finchley(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 14, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cray Wanderers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Burgess Hill Town 4-2 Cray WanderersNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 22, 2025Cray Wanderers 3-3 Burgess Hill TownNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 29, 2020Burgess Hill Town 2-2 Cray WanderersFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Burgess Hill Town1.61.728/1510/15
Cray Wanderers1.91.5411/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Burgess Hill Town4121655
15Cray Wanderers4121445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Burgess Hill Town.
Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers played?
Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Burgess Hill Town and Cray Wanderers

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