Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Burgess Hill Town (1,795) and Cray Wanderers (1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cray Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 4-2 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Cray Wanderers 3-3 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Burgess Hill Town 2-2 Cray Wanderers | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers played?
- Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026LeatherheadvsSt Albans City
- Nov 14, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsDulwich Hamlet
- Nov 14, 2026WhitehawkvsWingate & Finchley
- Nov 14, 2026AveleyvsEnfield Town
- Nov 14, 2026Brentwood TownvsRamsgate
- Nov 14, 2026WhyteleafevsChatham Town
- Nov 14, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsCarshalton Athletic
- Nov 14, 2026CheshuntvsDartford