Burgess Hill Town vs Three Bridges: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Three Bridges. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Three Bridges?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Burgess Hill Town (1,828) and Three Bridges (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Three Bridges have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Faversham Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Three Bridges win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Burgess Hill Town 4-0 Three Bridges | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Three Bridges 1-2 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Burgess Hill Town 2-3 Three Bridges | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Three Bridges 2-3 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Burgess Hill Town 2-1 Three Bridges | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Three Bridges 0-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Three Bridges on Apr 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Three Bridges score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Three Bridges | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Three Bridges sit 22nd (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Three Bridges?
- The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Three Bridges.
- Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Three Bridges played?
- Burgess Hill Town vs Three Bridges is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 29, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsWhitehawk
- Mar 29, 2027St Albans CityvsWingate & Finchley
- Mar 29, 2027AveleyvsBrentwood Town
- Mar 29, 2027WhyteleafevsCray Wanderers
- Mar 29, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsStanway Rovers
- Mar 29, 2027Carshalton AthleticvsLeatherhead
- Mar 29, 2027Enfield TownvsCheshunt
- Mar 29, 2027Dulwich HamletvsDartford