Match

Carshalton Athletic vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey

Carshalton AthleticLeatherhead

The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs Leatherhead?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Carshalton Athletic (1,824) and Leatherhead (1,896).

Carshalton Athletic win34 %
Draw24 %
Leatherhead win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carshalton Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stanway Rovers(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Dover(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Leatherhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(home)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Welling United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Ramsgate(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Carshalton Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Leatherhead win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 27, 2021Carshalton Athletic 3-3 LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 30, 2021Leatherhead 0-3 Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 1, 2020Leatherhead 2-1 Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 26, 2019Carshalton Athletic 1-0 LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian
Sep 14, 2013Leatherhead 2-1 Carshalton AthleticFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs Leatherhead on Nov 27, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Carshalton Athletic1.81.2510/159/15
Leatherhead1.91.2411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carshalton Athletic sit 1st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (12 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Carshalton Athletic44008212
8Leatherhead4211987

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs Leatherhead?
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Carshalton Athletic.
Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs Leatherhead played?
Carshalton Athletic vs Leatherhead is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Carshalton Athletic and Leatherhead

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