Match

Burnley U21 vs Manchester City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Lancashire FA County Ground, Leyland, Lancashire

Burnley U21Manchester City U21

The Footlab model makes Manchester City U21 the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Burnley U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burnley U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Manchester City U21 starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,726).

Burnley U21 win17 %
Draw18 %
Manchester City U21 win65 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Manchester City U21 have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burnley U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Fulham U21(away)3-4Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026Wolves U21(away)0-2Premier League Cup
May 14, 2026Sunderland U21(away)2-1Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026West Bromwich Albion U21(home)2-1Premier League Cup
Apr 12, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)0-2Premier League 2 Division One
Manchester City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Wolves U21(home)4-0Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 19, 2026Mansfield Town(away)4-1EFL Trophy
May 8, 2026Manchester United U21(home)3-4Premier League 2 Division One
May 1, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)3-2Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 25, 2026Arsenal U21(home)3-1Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Burnley U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Manchester City U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 9, 2026Manchester City U21 8-1 Burnley U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Manchester City U21 vs Burnley U21 on Jan 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester City U21 score 3.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Burnley U211.61.9111/1510/15
Manchester City U213.40.977/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burnley U21 sit 22nd in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Manchester City U21 sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Manchester City U211100403
22Burnley U211001340

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burnley U21 vs Manchester City U21?
The Footlab model makes Manchester City U21 the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Burnley U21.
Where and when is Burnley U21 vs Manchester City U21 played?
Burnley U21 vs Manchester City U21 is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Lancashire FA County Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Burnley U21 and Manchester City U21

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