Burnley vs Cardiff: result 1-2 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 23, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Cardiff?
Cardiff won 1-2 on September 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′J. ColwillCardiff
- 35′C. RobinsonCardiff
- 56′Z. FlemmingBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Cardiff have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Manchester United(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Derby(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sunderland(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bradford(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Exeter City(away) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Stockport County(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Plymouth(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Cheltenham(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Burnley win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cardiff win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Cardiff 1-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Burnley 5-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| May 8, 2023 | Burnley 3-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Cardiff 1-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Burnley 2-0 Cardiff | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Cardiff 1-2 Burnley | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 2.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cardiff | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy