Burnley vs Preston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Preston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burnley wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley vs Preston?
Burnley starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burnley vs Preston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 23Lucas Pires
- 37G. Coudert
Preston
3-4-2-1- 10C. Lang
- 7A. Devine
- 15J. Thompson
- 27L. Leroy
- 17S. Mills
- 20L. Gibbs
- 11T. Small
- 14J. Storey
- 24O. Offiah
- 16A. Hughes
- 1D. Iversen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Preston have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | QPR(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Burnley wins, 3 draws, 1 Preston win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Preston 3-0 Burnley | FA Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Preston 0-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Burnley 0-0 Preston | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Burnley 3-0 Preston | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Preston 1-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2016 | Preston 0-1 Burnley | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Preston score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Preston | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 21st in Championship (8 points from 10 matches) and Preston sit 24th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
A question about Burnley vs Preston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Preston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Preston.
- Where and when is Burnley vs Preston played?
- Burnley vs Preston is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Turf Moor, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.