Burnley vs Lincoln: result 0-1 and analysis
FA Cup5th RoundKick-off on February 18, 2017 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
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What was the result of Burnley vs Lincoln?
Lincoln won 0-1 on February 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 89′S. RaggettLincoln
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lincoln have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2017 | Chelsea(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Leicester(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Bristol City(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Woking(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Welling United(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Brighton(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 24, 2017 | Barrow(away) | 0-3 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln score 2.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Lincoln | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy