Bursaspor vs Kayserispor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yüzüncü Yıl Atatürk Sütaş Stadyumu, Bursa
The Footlab model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kayserispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bursaspor vs Kayserispor?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Bursaspor (1,901) and Kayserispor (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bursaspor have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Kayserispor have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bursaspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kayserispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2019 | Kayserispor 1-1 Bursaspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Bursaspor 0-0 Kayserispor | Süper Lig |
| Mar 2, 2018 | Bursaspor 1-0 Kayserispor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Kayserispor 3-1 Bursaspor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 17, 2017 | Kayserispor 2-0 Bursaspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Bursaspor 3-1 Kayserispor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kayserispor vs Bursaspor on Jan 26, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Bursaspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kayserispor score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Kayserispor | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bursaspor sit 5th in 1. Lig (6 points from 3 matches) and Kayserispor sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Bursaspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bursaspor vs Kayserispor?
- The Footlab model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kayserispor.
- Where and when is Bursaspor vs Kayserispor played?
- Bursaspor vs Kayserispor is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yüzüncü Yıl Atatürk Sütaş Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.