Bury vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 5, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Northampton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2019 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 24, 2019 | Chelsea U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 21, 2019 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2019 | Gillingham(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Lincoln(away) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bristol Rovers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | Bristol Rovers 2-1 Bury | League One |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Bury 2-3 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Mar 14, 2017 | Bury 3-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Bristol Rovers 4-2 Bury | League One |
| Apr 1, 2014 | Bury 2-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Bristol Rovers 1-1 Bury | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Bury on Mar 30, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy