Bury vs Carlisle: result 1-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Carlisle?
Bury and Carlisle drew 1-1 on October 16, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 36′Zac ThompsonBury
- 90′J. GarnerCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 0 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Rochdale(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Stevenage(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-4 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | Notts County(home) | 0-4 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Walsall(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Tottenham(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Coventry(away) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bury win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | Carlisle 4-1 Bury | League One |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Bury 0-2 Carlisle | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy