Bury vs Carlisle: result 1-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Carlisle?
Bury and Carlisle drew 1-1 on October 16, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 36′Zac ThompsonBury
- 90′J. GarnerCarlisle
Official lineup for Bury vs Carlisle
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bury
- 10Andy Bishop
- 28T. Hopper
- 33D. Poleon
- 7D. Worrall
- 8Steven Schumacher
- 32Zac Thompson
- 3Joe Skarz
- 5Adam Lockwood
- 17Mark Anthony Hughes
- 31M. Doherty
- 1T. Carson
Carlisle
- 22J. Garner
- 27K. Higginbotham
- 8L. Noble
- 12Paul Thirlwell
- 15Mike Edwards
- 21James Trevor Berrett
- 2F. Simek
- 3M. Robson
- 6Peter Michael Murphy
- 24C. Chantler
- 20M. Gillespie
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 0 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Rochdale(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Stevenage(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-4 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | Notts County(home) | 0-4 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Walsall(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Tottenham(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Coventry(away) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bury wins, 0 draws, 2 Carlisle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | Carlisle 4-1 Bury | League One |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Bury 0-2 Carlisle | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bury vs Carlisle?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy