Bury vs Carlisle: result 2-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 24, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Carlisle?
Bury won 2-1 on January 24, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 16′D. NardielloBury (pen.)
- 22′Steven RiggCarlisle
- 62′D. NardielloBury
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Carlisle have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Jan 3, 2015 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Dec 28, 2014 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2014 | Northampton(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2014 | York(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Cambridge United(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Jan 3, 2015 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Dec 28, 2014 | York(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2014 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | Carlisle 0-3 Bury | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Carlisle 2-1 Bury | League One |
| Oct 16, 2012 | Bury 1-1 Carlisle | League One |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Carlisle 4-1 Bury | League One |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Bury 0-2 Carlisle | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.2 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy