Bury vs Colchester: result 5-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 20, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
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What was the result of Bury vs Colchester?
Bury won 5-2 on February 20, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 4′C. PorterColchester
- 17′G. MasseyColchester
- 34′Ryan LoweBury
- 51′Andrew William TutteBury
- 51′Andrew William TutteBury
- 56′Craig Steven JonesBury
- 62′Andrew William TutteBury
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Colchester have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Coventry(away) | 0-6 | League One |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Barnsley(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Jan 30, 2016 | Hull City(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jan 26, 2016 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-4 | League One |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Southend(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Jan 30, 2016 | Tottenham(home) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Scunthorpe(away) | 0-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Bury win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Colchester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2015 | Colchester 0-1 Bury | League One |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Bury 1-2 Colchester | League One |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Colchester 2-0 Bury | League One |
| Apr 9, 2012 | Bury 4-1 Colchester | League One |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Colchester 4-1 Bury | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 1.0 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Colchester | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy