Bury vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Shrewsbury have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Northampton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | Bolton(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Rotherham(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Blackpool(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Coventry(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Oxford United(away) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bury wins, 2 draws, 2 Shrewsbury wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2018 | Shrewsbury 1-1 Bury | League One |
| Nov 21, 2017 | Bury 1-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Shrewsbury 2-1 Bury | League One |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Bury 2-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Bury 2-2 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Shrewsbury 2-0 Bury | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bury vs Shrewsbury?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy