Bury vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Shrewsbury have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Northampton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | Bolton(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Rotherham(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Blackpool(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Coventry(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Oxford United(away) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bury win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Shrewsbury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2018 | Shrewsbury 1-1 Bury | League One |
| Nov 21, 2017 | Bury 1-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Shrewsbury 2-1 Bury | League One |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Bury 2-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Bury 2-2 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Shrewsbury 2-0 Bury | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy