Bury vs Workington: result 5-1 and analysis
FA Cup2nd Round QualifyingKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Workington?
Bury won 5-1 on September 19, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bury win at 55%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 5-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Workington have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Wythenshawe Amateurs(home) | 8-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Marske United(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Workington | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bury vs Workington?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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