Match

Busko-Zdroj vs Sokół Kolb.: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Busko-ZdrojSokół Kolb.

The Footlab model makes Busko-Zdroj the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sokół Kolb.. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Sokół Kolb.?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Busko-Zdroj (1,718) and Sokół Kolb. (1,713).

Busko-Zdroj win42 %
Draw26 %
Sokół Kolb. win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Busko-Zdroj have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Sokół Kolb. have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Busko-Zdroj
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Star Starachowice(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)1-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)3-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Sokół Kolb.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Jarosław(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 8; Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Busko-Zdroj1.62.106/86/8
Sokół Kolb.1.41.1410/158/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Busko-Zdroj sit 14th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Sokół Kolb. sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Sokół Kolb.5122675
14Busko-Zdroj5122795

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Busko-Zdroj vs Sokół Kolb.?
The Footlab model makes Busko-Zdroj the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sokół Kolb..
Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs Sokół Kolb. played?
Busko-Zdroj vs Sokół Kolb. is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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