Naprzód vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów
The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naprzód vs Star Starachowice?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Naprzód (1,692) and Star Starachowice (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Naprzód win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Star Starachowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Star Starachowice 2-1 Naprzód | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Naprzód 0-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Naprzód on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Star Starachowice?
- The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Naprzód.
- Where and when is Naprzód vs Star Starachowice played?
- Naprzód vs Star Starachowice is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsJarosław
- May 29, 2027KSZO 1929vsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- May 29, 2027Hetman ZamoscvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- May 29, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsWisłoka Dębica
- May 29, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- May 29, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- May 29, 2027Moravia MorawicavsKorona Kielce II
- May 29, 2027Busko-ZdrojvsSokół Kolb.