BVSC vs Ajka: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Szőnyi úti Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes BVSC the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ajka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BVSC vs Ajka?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate BVSC (1,623) and Ajka (1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BVSC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ajka have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-4 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(away) | 0-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 0-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kazincbarcikai(home) | 0-0 | NB II |
| May 17, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 4-1 | NB II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(home) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diosgyori VTK(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BVSC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ajka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Ajka 0-2 BVSC | NB II |
| Jul 27, 2025 | BVSC 4-0 Ajka | NB II |
| May 18, 2025 | BVSC 0-0 Ajka | NB II |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Ajka 2-1 BVSC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Ajka 0-1 BVSC | NB II |
| Apr 7, 2024 | BVSC 0-2 Ajka | NB II |
How many goals should we expect?
BVSC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ajka score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BVSC | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ajka | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BVSC sit 15th in NB II (1 points from 4 matches) and Ajka sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | BVSC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BVSC vs Ajka?
- The Footlab model makes BVSC the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ajka.
- Where and when is BVSC vs Ajka played?
- BVSC vs Ajka is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Szőnyi úti Stadion, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.