Čadca vs Baník Kalinovo: prediction and stats
3. liga - CenterCentral - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Štadión Čadca, Čadca
The Footlab model makes Čadca the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Baník Kalinovo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Čadca vs Baník Kalinovo?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Čadca (1,365) and Baník Kalinovo (1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Čadca have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Baník Kalinovo have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novohrad Lučenec(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kysučan Korňa(away) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banská Byst II(home) | 6-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Podkonice(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brezno(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(away) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dolný Kubín(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 23, 2026 | Podkonice(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - Center |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Čadca win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Baník Kalinovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | Čadca 2-2 Baník Kalinovo | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Baník Kalinovo 2-0 Čadca | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Baník Kalinovo 2-0 Čadca | 3. liga - Center |
Last archived meeting: Čadca vs Baník Kalinovo on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Čadca score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Kalinovo score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Čadca | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Baník Kalinovo | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Baník Kalinovo | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 43 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Čadca vs Baník Kalinovo?
- The Footlab model makes Čadca the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Baník Kalinovo.
- Where and when is Čadca vs Baník Kalinovo played?
- Čadca vs Baník Kalinovo is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Štadión Čadca, in the 3. liga - Center.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.