Oravské Veselé vs Novohrad Lučenec: prediction and stats
3. liga - CenterCentral - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión TJ Tatran Oravské Veselé, Oravské Veselé
The Footlab model makes Oravské Veselé the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Novohrad Lučenec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oravské Veselé vs Novohrad Lučenec?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Oravské Veselé (1,469) and Novohrad Lučenec (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oravské Veselé have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Novohrad Lučenec have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banská Byst II(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Partizán Osrblie(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podkonice(home) | 3-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokol Medzibrod(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Dolný Kubín(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Čadca(home) | 3-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 23, 2026 | Námestovo(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - Center |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oravské Veselé win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Novohrad Lučenec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Novohrad Lučenec 0-0 Oravské Veselé | 3. liga - Center |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Oravské Veselé 1-1 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
| May 26, 2024 | Oravské Veselé 4-1 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - East |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Novohrad Lučenec 1-0 Oravské Veselé | 3. liga - East |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Oravské Veselé 2-0 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Novohrad Lučenec 0-0 Oravské Veselé | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Novohrad Lučenec vs Oravské Veselé on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oravské Veselé score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Novohrad Lučenec score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oravské Veselé | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Novohrad Lučenec | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oravské Veselé sit 11th in 3. liga - Center (26 points from 26 matches) and Novohrad Lučenec sit 4th (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Novohrad Lučenec | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 43 |
| 11 | Oravské Veselé | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 45 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oravské Veselé vs Novohrad Lučenec?
- The Footlab model makes Oravské Veselé the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Novohrad Lučenec.
- Where and when is Oravské Veselé vs Novohrad Lučenec played?
- Oravské Veselé vs Novohrad Lučenec is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión TJ Tatran Oravské Veselé, in the 3. liga - Center.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.