Caen vs Bastia: result 0-1 and analysis
Ligue 3Regular Season - 4Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Full time
What was the result of Caen vs Bastia?
Bastia won 0-1 on August 27, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′C. RodriguesBastia
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Caen win at 41%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Caen vs Bastia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Caen
- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 20Keelyan Portut
- 22M. Hafid
- 6J. Kimboma
- 24Léo Milliner
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 4S. Mbaka
- 19H. Lamouliatte
- 23L. Carole
- 16Y. Clémentia
Bastia
- 7C. Rodrigues
- 9F. Tomi
- 12L. Belal
- 13C. Melieres
- 23Erawan Garnier
- 4A. Roncaglia
- 22I. Monnier
- 2N. Zilliox
- 17J. Eickmayer
- 28G. Akueson
- 1T. De Percin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bastia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 3-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dieppe(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Caen wins, 0 draws, 2 Bastia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Bastia 2-1 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Caen 2-0 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Bastia 1-2 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Caen 1-0 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Caen 3-1 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Bastia 1-0 Caen | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bastia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caen sit 7th in Ligue 3 (15 points from 9 matches) and Bastia sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Caen vs Bastia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy