Caen vs Estac Troyes: result 1-1 and analysis
Ligue 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
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What was the result of Caen vs Estac Troyes?
Caen and Estac Troyes drew 1-1 on January 31, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 41′B. NivetEstac Troyes
- 87′M. AutretCaen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Estac Troyes have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2014 | Creteil(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 21, 2014 | Ajaccio(away) | 2-0 | Coupe de France |
| Jan 17, 2014 | Laval(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 10, 2014 | Tours(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 4, 2014 | Pontarlier(away) | 3-1 | Coupe de France |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2014 | Nimes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 18, 2014 | Arles(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 15, 2014 | Evian TG(home) | 3-1 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Jan 10, 2014 | Clermont Foot(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 21, 2013 | Metz(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Caen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Estac Troyes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2013 | Estac Troyes 2-1 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 7, 2012 | Caen 2-4 Estac Troyes | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estac Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 67 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy